Tag Archives: weak dollar

More on the Decoupling of the Macro from the Micro

The US economy has slowed significantly in recent months compared to late 2010 and early 2011. We’re not forecasting a recession … yet. But we are talking about a marked deceleration in the growth rate of our gross domestic product. Read More

Pondering the Fate of Inflation

For some time, we have forecast that inflation would return to relatively normal levels in 2011. In fact, we expect core inflation (inflation excluding food and energy) to rise from its near-zero year-over-year rate to closer to 2%. Read More