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	<title>Think &#187; consumer spending</title>
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		<title>Less spending by Americans could slow recovery</title>
		<link>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/07/01/less-spending-by-americans/</link>
		<comments>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/07/01/less-spending-by-americans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 10:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Crutsinger</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commerce Department]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://think.zionsdirect.com/?p=4337</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Americans are pulling back on their spending, a trend that could slow the economic recovery if it continues.</p><p>A sharp drop in retail sales points to still-wary shoppers and could lead economists to curtail their expectations for growth.</p><p>Analysts cautioned against overreacting to Friday's, June 11, Commerce Department report. It could signal a return to<strong><small><a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/07/01/less-spending-by-americans/"> . . . read more</a></strong></small>   <a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/07/01/less-spending-by-americans/">Read More</a>]]></description>
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<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans are pulling back on their spending, a trend that could slow the economic recovery if it continues.</p>
<p>A sharp drop in retail sales points to still-wary shoppers and could lead economists to curtail their expectations for growth.</p>
<p>Analysts cautioned against overreacting to Friday&#8217;s, June 11, Commerce Department report. It could signal a return to modest growth after two unusually strong months fueled by tax refunds, rebates for energy-efficient appliances and higher gas prices.</p>
<p>The 1.2 percent plunge in retail sales was the largest drop in eight months. But excluding three of the most volatile sectors — autos, building materials and gasoline station sales — retail sales actually rose one-tenth of a percentage point in May.</p>
<p>And sales figures for some industries can vary depending on how they are calculated.</p>
<p>For example, Commerce said auto sales fell 1.7 percent in May, but the industry itself has reported gains of 3.7 percent for the same period. They differ because the auto industry measures strictly sales volume of new cars; the government looks at revenue for cars, auto parts, tires and other products across the industry.</p>
<p>&#8220;Both reports are right. They are just tracking different things,&#8221; said David Wyss, chief economist at Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s in New York.</p>
<p>Economists remain concerned that spending won&#8217;t pick up in months ahead. Households are still facing near-double-digit unemployment. Private employers are not hiring fast enough to bring that number down. Anxiety has gripped the stock market, partly because of the European debt crisis.</p>
<p>Any sustained pullback by shoppers could threaten the recovery because consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.</p>
<p>The overall economy, as measured by the gross domestic product, grew at an annual rate of 3 percent in the first three months of this year. Much of that resulted from a 3.5 percent expansion in consumer spending — the best showing for this category in three years.</p>
<p>Some economists cautioned that estimates of growth for the current quarter might have to be scaled back.</p>
<p>The sharp decline in retail sales &#8220;is a reminder that households are not going to be the engine of growth for some time,&#8221; said Paul Dales, U.S. economist for Capital Economics.</p>
<p>Contributing to the weakness is a shortage of hiring. Most economists don&#8217;t expect the unemployment rate of 9.7 percent to fall much in the coming months.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our own view is that the labor market recovery will be a grudging one, that consumers will enjoy only modest gains in wages and salaries for some time and that consumer spending growth will therefore prove disappointing,&#8221; said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc., an economic consulting firm in New York.</p>
<p>The decline in May retail sales was the largest since sales had fallen 2.2 percent in September. The government did revise up slightly the April performance to show a gain of 0.6 percent for the month instead of the originally reported 0.4 percent increase.</p>
<p>Pulling the May number down was a 9.3 percent drop in building materials. But that came after two strong months for the industry. Another key factor was a 3.3 percent drop in gasoline station sales, which were affected by lower gas prices.</p>
<p>Auto sales fell 1.7 percent. Excluding autos, overall retails sales fell 1.1 percent.</p>
<p>Department store sales fell 1.8 percent. Sales in the broader category of general merchandise stores, which includes big retailers such as Wal-Mart, fell 1.1 percent.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve reported Thursday, June 10, that household wealth rose in the first three months of the year. But since then, stock prices have tumbled. Economists say it could be 2012 or 2013 at best before Americans&#8217; wealth returns to its pre-recession levels.</p>
<p>Retail store chains have posted two straight months of sluggish revenue gains compared with a terrible spring last year.</p>
<p>Target Corp. posted a small gain in May that was below internal forecasts. And department store chain J.C. Penney Co. and many teen merchants including Abercrombie &amp; Fitch Co. and American Eagle Outfitters Inc. reported declines in revenue at stores open at least a year.</p>
<p>___</p>
<p>AP Auto Writer Dan Strumpf in New York contributed to this report.</p>
</div>
<p></p>
<p align="center">Copyright 2010 The Associated Press.</p>
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		<title>Smart Spending: Shopping at convenience stores</title>
		<link>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/02/15/smart-shopping/</link>
		<comments>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/02/15/smart-shopping/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 10:00:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mae Anderson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smart shopping]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://think.zionsdirect.com/?p=2926</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[</p>Always helpful for last-minute necessities, convenience stores and chain drug stores offer good deals on a surprising array of other merchandise too.</p><p>Trading on their late hours and handy locations, they've always boosted prices on necessities, but the recession has made the stores more savvy about other inventory too<strong><small><a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/02/15/smart-shopping/"> . . . read more</a></strong></small>  <a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/02/15/smart-shopping/">Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[</p>
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<p>NEW YORK (AP) — Always helpful for last-minute necessities, convenience stores and chain drug stores offer good deals on a surprising array of other merchandise too.</p>
<p>Trading on their late hours and handy locations, they&#8217;ve always boosted prices on necessities, but the recession has made the stores more savvy about other inventory too, said Don Longo, editor-in-chief of trade magazine Convenience Store News.</p>
<p>&#8220;What we&#8217;re seeing today with the economy is pocketbooks are being tight, and more and more companies are getting price-sensitive,&#8221; Longo said.</p>
<p>Convenience store sales are rising, even in the recession, according to Convenience Store News. The top sellers among the $166 billion they took in during 2008 were soda in individual bottles or cans, cigarettes, coffee and snacks like chips and pretzels, all typically highly profitable and often priced higher at convenience stores than elsewhere.</p>
<p>But they offer much more.</p>
<p>Here are some tips on how to save at convenience stores — plus the front end of drug stores — and what to avoid.</p>
<p>— RESEARCH: Savvy C-shoppers, as convenience-store customers are known in the business, scour the stores&#8217; ads in print and check online for deals. If you don&#8217;t do this, you can count on losing money. Many convenience stores, including the major chains offer their circulars online, and sites like dealnews.com and pricegrabber.com aggregate them.</p>
<p>— STORE BRANDS: Typical grocery items — like sandwiches, veggie trays or precut fruit — usually cost less elsewhere. But the chains&#8217; store-branded products can offer clear savings. For example, 7-Eleven offers 7-Select snack items for up to 20 percent less than similar products it sells from other manufacturers. CVS says it charges 30 percent to 40 percent less for its store-brand pain relievers and lotions than for big-name brands.</p>
<p>— ELECTRONICS: As high technology continues dropping in price and rising in popularity, more and more electronics can be found at convenience stores at competitive prices. Next month, for example, 7-Eleven will start selling used video games for PlayStation 2 and 3, Xbox 360 and Nintendo DS and Wii consoles for $9.99 to $19.99, alongside the full-priced games it offers. And CVS sells a 15-inch HDTV from Craig Electronics for only $149.99. It recently offered a Maylong GPS system for $79.99, $20 off.</p>
<p>— SEASONAL GOODS: For seasonal decor, common gifts and candy, convenience stores typically beat all competitors on price. Right now they&#8217;re crammed with chocolates and stuffed animals and heart-shaped balloons. But you can also shop Walgreen and other chains for low prices on the higher-ticket gift items you may want to attach to the balloons, such as Giorgio Armani, Calvin Klein and Lancome colognes that many consumers expect to see only in department stores.</p>
<p>— THE BASICS. Beyond being the go-to place when your pantyhose rip or you need glue or light bulbs or a pair of socks in the middle of the night, many convenience chains have expanded their offerings of necessities. Duane Reade, a New York drugstore chain, sells tank tops and underwear, even bathrobes and slippers, all on the cheap. And some of the larger outlets of CVS, Walgreen and Rite Aid go head to head with Target and Kmart on price and sometimes quality, though generally not selection.</p>
<p>— SHOP CAREFULLY: While staples like milk, coffee, orange juice, bread and beer are usually cheaper at grocery stores — and are often even more affordable in bulk at discounters — some convenience stores are getting more competitive on grocery items.</p>
<p>Longo with Convenience Store News said 7-Eleven and stores like Wawa in Pennsylvania, which evolved from a grocery background, often put a focus on food, he said, particularly fresh food.</p>
<p>But independent convenience stores, without the brawn of a chain behind them, rarely compete on price, he said. Instead, they try to become a part of the community they exist in, sometimes even offering key services lacking nearby.</p>
<p>&#8220;They become more of a meeting place for the area,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Because they&#8217;re smaller they have more of a personal touch.&#8221;</p>
</div>
<p></p>
<p align="center">Copyright 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.</p>
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		<title>Consumers are squeezed as inflation outpaces wages</title>
		<link>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/01/20/consumers-are-squeezed/</link>
		<comments>http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/01/20/consumers-are-squeezed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 22:03:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Crutsinger</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://think.zionsdirect.com/?p=2751</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The notion that consumers will help lead the economic rebound received a stark rebuttal Friday: American families are being squeezed.</p><p>Workers saw their inflation-adjusted weekly wages fall 1.6 percent last year — the sharpest drop since 1990 — even as consumer prices rose only modestly.</p><p>Families' spending power sank as a result. Slack pay and scarce job growth are slowing consumer spending, along with tight credit and a rising savings rate. That's hindering the economy's ability to mount a strong recovery<strong><small><a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/01/20/consumers-are-squeezed/"> . . . read more</a></strong></small> <a href="http://think.zionsdirect.com/2010/01/20/consumers-are-squeezed/">Read More</a>]]></description>
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<p>WASHINGTON (AP) — The notion that consumers will help lead the economic rebound received a stark rebuttal Friday: American families are being squeezed.</p>
<p>Workers saw their inflation-adjusted weekly wages fall 1.6 percent last year — the sharpest drop since 1990 — even as consumer prices rose only modestly.</p>
<p>Families&#8217; spending power sank as a result. Slack pay and scarce job growth are slowing consumer spending, along with tight credit and a rising savings rate. That&#8217;s hindering the economy&#8217;s ability to mount a strong recovery.</p>
<p>For some families, the overall inflation rate last year — 2.7 percent — understates their burden. Many are struggling with surging costs for health care and college tuition, both of which have been galloping far above the overall inflation rate.</p>
<p>Energy led consumer prices higher last year, offsetting the biggest drop in food costs in nearly a half century, the Labor Department said Friday. Core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy sectors, rose 1.8 percent. That&#8217;s the second-smallest rise in four decades.</p>
<p>But to middle-class people like Angie and Larry Kimbrel of Birmingham, Ala., inflation feels anything but moderate. With three sons, the Kimbrels say they&#8217;re just scraping by.</p>
<p>Angie Kimbrel, who works for an insurance underwriter, has gone without raises and bonuses and faces higher health insurance premiums. Work is slow for her husband, a painter, because of the sagging construction and housing markets.</p>
<p>&#8220;I haven&#8217;t seen anything getting cheaper,&#8221; said Kimbrel, 43. She&#8217;s facing rising costs for health insurance and gas, in particular.</p>
<p>Economists expect core inflation to remain tame in 2010, giving the Federal Reserve leeway to keep interest rates at record lows to try to invigorate the economy. Inflation and wages remain low because employers can&#8217;t or won&#8217;t raise pay in an economy that&#8217;s shed 7.2 million jobs since the recession began two years ago. The unemployment rate is 10 percent, and the number of jobless has hit 15.3 million, up from 7.7 million when the recession started in at the end of 2007.</p>
<p>The 1.6 percent drop in average weekly earnings for nonsupervisory workers was the worst yearly performance since a 2.5 percent fall in 1990. Inflation-adjusted pay has sunk in five of the past seven years, underscoring the pressures households felt even before the recession.</p>
<p>Over the past 10 years, for example, inflation-adjusted wages grew only about 13 percent — the slowest pace in five decades, according to calculations made by Scott Hoyt of Moody&#8217;s Economy.com. And that trend is expected to persist as long as the recovery remains weak and the job market tight.</p>
<p>&#8220;When people are unemployed and wages are weak, household spending is depressed and businesses don&#8217;t have any pricing power,&#8221; said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody&#8217;s Economy.com. &#8220;That is the reason that inflation is not a problem.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even though the Consumer Price Index rose 2.7 percent from December to December, more than 50 million Social Security recipients got no cost-of-living benefit increase this year. That&#8217;s because overall prices fell from July to September 2009 — the period the government uses to determine Social Security adjustments.</p>
<p>Even as wages, on average, have stagnated, Wall Street is one industry that&#8217;s still handing out lavish pay raises. At JPMorgan Chase, for example, the average compensation per employee rose to $121,124 in 2009 from $101,110 a year earlier, the bank said Friday. The average compensation in the investment banking division was about $380,000.</p>
<p>The 1.6 percent drop in inflation-adjusted weekly earnings for the 12 months ending in December compared with a 3.1 percent rise in inflation-adjusted wages in 2008.</p>
<p>While the 1.8 percent rise in core inflation was within the Fed&#8217;s comfort zone, it masked the pain consumers felt in their pocketbooks because of the big jump in energy prices and other key items.</p>
<p>Energy prices for the 12 months ending in December 2009 shot up 18.2 percent. That was the biggest jump since 1979. Energy prices had dropped by 21.3 percent during the same period in 2008. The energy surge was led by higher gasoline costs, which rose 53.5 percent after falling 43.1 percent in 2008.</p>
<p>Food prices swung in the opposite direction. They fell 0.5 percent for the 12 months ending in December, the biggest drop since 1961.</p>
<p>Another factor that&#8217;s limiting core inflation is housing costs. They dropped 0.3 percent for the 12 months ending in December. It was the biggest annual decline on records dating to 1968. A glut of single-family homes on the market and record apartment vacancy rates have put pressure on housing prices.</p>
<p>Medical costs rose by 3.4 percent in 2009, the biggest advance since a 5.2 percent in 2007. That continued a trend in which the costs of hospital visits, doctors and drugs outpacing overall inflation. College tuition costs jumped by 6 percent in 2009 following a 5.8 percent rise in 2008. Over the past decade, college tuition and fees have soared 92 percent.</p>
<p>Theresa Bryan was in line Friday morning at Dunkin&#8217; Donuts in Haddon Township, N.J., for a cup of coffee. It&#8217;s about the only indulgence she&#8217;s allowing herself. She says she&#8217;s been unable to shop for clothes, shoes or anything for her home for a couple years.</p>
<p>With two kids — one in high school, one in college — and a salary as a mortgage processor stalled for the past few years, she&#8217;s felt no benefit from low inflation.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t notice anything because I&#8217;m so broke,&#8221; said Bryan, 50.</p>
<p>The CPI is calculated monthly with Labor Department workers checking prices of hundreds of items at stores. The index reflects a market basket of goods such as food, autos and gasoline, which make up about 40 percent of the index, and services, such as hospital visits or haircuts, which make up the other 60 percent.</p>
<p>Economists caution that the economy can&#8217;t sustain a strong recovery until wages and job creation strengthens. Business investment and exports driven by a low dollar will help, though.</p>
<p>David Wyss, an economist at Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s in New York, said he expected inflation pressures to remain low through the middle of the decade given the likelihood a modest recovery with unemployment falling only slowly.</p>
<p>&#8220;You have to get back to full employment before inflation becomes a major problem,&#8221; Wyss said.</p>
<p>___</p>
<p>Associated Press Writers Geoff Mulvihill in Haddon Township, N.J., and Jay Reeves in Birmingham, Ala., contributed to this report.</p>
</div>
<p></p>
<p align="center">Copyright 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.</p>
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